Ukraine conflict ends and then what?
Let’s play the scenario nobody wants to name out loud:Ukraine conflict ends- likely unfairly. NATO declares victory or negotiated settlement. Russia may rejoin G8 as per EU proposition. EU security architecture gets redrawn.Everyone exhales.Except the Arctic was never paused. It just stopped getting headlines.Russia’s Northern Sea Route moved 36.2 million tons in 2023. Up 40% in 2024. Target: 110 million tons by 2030.China signed a year-round Arctic shipping agreement with Russia (June 2024).Russia completed a 2,100-meter military runway on Kotelny Island capable of handling nuclear-capable bombers.Russia allocated 150 billion rubles for NSR infrastructure (2025-2027).This isn’t preparation. This is operational.Now map…

